Golf John Deere Classic 2024 Betting Picks and Predictions

1 share, 70 points
Golf Tips
PGA Tour


DateJul 4–7, 2024

The John Deere Classic is a professional golf tournament held at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. It is a par 71 golf course, approximately 7,289 yards long. The event has historically been known for low scores, but it has become slightly tougher in the last two years. The fairways are challenging to hit, and driving distance remains higher than the tour average.

The key stats to consider for this event are Strokes Gained: Approach and Strokes Gained: Putting. A significant percentage of approach shots come in under 150 yards. The low-scoring nature of the tournament makes putting more crucial than usual. Scoring well on the par 5s is essential, as they offer birdie opportunities with a birdie rate of 50% on one of them.

Unlike some other events, driving distance doesn’t provide a significant advantage at the John Deere Classic due to the long and penalizing rough. Accuracy off the tee and solid wedge play are more crucial.

Course history and current form are not strong indicators of success at this tournament. The event tends to be open, and players can perform well even without a strong recent track record. Let’s chuck that form book out the window.


Our Picks:

Sepp Straka @16/1 E/W

After consideration we can’t get away from how much we see Straka winning here, his play will be suited to this course, with solid wedge play and playing well out the rough he has to be our first pick.


Michael Thorbjornsen @75/1

Thorb leads off a card of youngster deep shots for us this week. There were some people on him the last 2 weeks but we had our eye on him for this event. He finished 17th in this event last year and his ball striking was great that week. This event is wide open and were targeting young and hungry golfers for big places.


Luke Clanton @40/1

He’s had an unbelievable start to his PGA Tour career with a 41st place finish at the US Open and followed it up with a T10 at the Rocket Mortgage. His ball striking has been excellent and he’s even got the flat stick going. He fits our theme of young budding superstar deep shots this week.



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