NFL Week 2 Betting Picks and Predictions, American Football


71
71 points

Colts @ Jaguars; Jonathan Taylor over 2.5 receptions 

Logic For:

  • No Michael Pittman or Alec Pierce.

  • Taylor had 7 targets and 4 receptions last game.

  • Matt Ryan likes to check down to his running backs (just ask Cordarrelle Patterson)

  • Colts offensive line did not give Matt Ryan a lot of time to look downfield last week. We expect the same this week with lots of check downs and screens.

  • Hines will be playing as the flex giving Taylor more 3rd down work.

  • Without Leonard and a questionable Buckner and Kenny Moore III, we think this game could become a high scoring affair.

Logic Against:

  • The Colts are a more talented team and could jump out to an early lead.

  • It may rain which may lead the colts to have an even more run heavy game plan.

  • In 4 out of Taylor’s last 6 games he had less than 2 targets (though all 4 of those games were with Wentz)

Pittsburgh Steelers ML (+120) @ New England Patriots

Reasoning: We think everyone has gone into this season doubting the Steelers. The were (rightful) underdogs against the Bengals last week, and were still able to run away with the W. Mitch Trubisky isn’t the next Tom Brady, but he is a good quarterback and good at doing the basic things needed to get wins in this league. The Patriots did not impress last week, and even with TJ Watt out injured, the Steelers defense is still scary. Minkah is still there, Cam Heyward is still there, Alex Highsmith (who dominated last week) will be picking up where Watt left off. Watt only had 1 of the 11 quarterback hits the Steelers had last week. Obviously losing him is a big loss, but the defense is still top 10 and scary. Patriots have some offensive concerns, they have a former defensive coordinator calling their offensive plays. They didn’t perform up to expectations last week, and Steelers D will be all over them. If the offensive line had troubles with the Dolphins, Steelers are gonna feast on Mac Jones and that offensive line. We don’t expect this to be a blowout, we expect a low scoring game, but we do expect the Steelers to come out on top in their home opener.

 

Detroit Lions (-1.5 Point Spread) @ Washington Commanders 

We’re going big with the Lions here to win this game with a couple points, we’ve always liked and respected this team and right now is the first time that their are favoured in 24 damn games.. and right now their offence and defence are on point big time, probably the best offensive line in the NFL right now. A lot of people might find that debatable but WE don’t care. Detroit lost to Philly in week 1 by 3 points it was a real fucked up match. But these guys are absolute warriors with true grit and we expect them to take down the commanders with force to take the win, A lot of people may disagree with me but we wouldn’t listen to them. We know they are going to WIN and cover the spread for this match. We have extreme confidence that this hits and the value that presents itself here is pretty much top tier, so yeah. The only problem that WE see here is this Carson Wentz who has some serious firepower he adds to the commanders. But we’re not even phased or worried. we’re still getting this win.


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