Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
Pick: Seattle Mariners O1.5 TT Runs F5 (-115)
Over the Mariners last 10 games, they have scored 2 runs or more in the F5 in 9/10 games. Lance Lynn has an ERA of 5.59 in away games so far this year, and he has given up 2 runs in the first five innings of 10/15 games this year, and 5/7 away games pitched. He has given up 16 home runs over 15 games started this season, and Mariners are in the top 10 in total home runs this year, averaging a little over 1 per game. One guy on and a homer can give this bet the win. Additionally, Marco Gonzales receives an average of 4 runs of run support this season, and over his last 6 starts, Mariners have given him 19 runs of run support in the F5, an average of 3 runs of run support each start, and surpassing the o1.5 mark in each game.
Something special is happening. See you tomorrow. #SeaUsRise pic.twitter.com/rCx71CCbKc
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 5, 2022
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres ML (-190)
This game breaks down almost exclusively to the pitching matchup. If you’re reading this, you’re likely familiar with Blake Snell. An MLB veteran with 7+ years of experience, Snell is throwing his best ball over the past month. With a 2.81 ERA in August that is largely inflated by one bad outing against Cleveland (1.26 ERA otherwise), he has been wheeling and dealing – largely limiting the walks that usually get him into trouble. The Diamondbacks have been hitting better (10th in OPS last 14 days) with the recent call-up of top prospect Corbin Carroll, but Snell should still do his thing and go a solid five innings.
The pitcher you likely don’t know is Ryne Nelson. The #5 prospect within the Diamondbacks’ organization, Nelson like many other prospects is being thrown to the wolves and trialed throughout the remainder of the season. Unlike many others though, he’s struggled in the minors. With a 5.43 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, it’s hard to see how he’ll improve against masterful hitters like Machado, Bell, Drury, Soto and more. We’d be lying if we told you I’ve watched tape of him, but what we’ve read is that he pitches in a hitter friendly ballpark in AAA so those numbers are a tad inflated. His fastball clocks at only about 93mph, but has a ton of spin. He compliments it with a slider and curveball that have potential, but have yet to dominate. He might not get blown up, but I highly doubt he dominates. Give me the Snell and the Padres to be leading after five innings.
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
Houston Astros ML (-165)
Hunter Brown is making his first start for the Astros. He’s been putting up some real nice numbers in the minors. We see him coming out and throwing 5 to 6 innings of shutout baseball. By then the Astros should have built a nice lead for the bullpen to take over. The Rangers have flat out not been good this year. Although their ace is throwing we still think the Astros will tag him. The game is in Houston. That should help heavily with their bats. As well as Brown coming out and dealing on the bump with the home crowd behind him.
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