American Football!
Touchdown
Week 4
Week 3 was a trap set for several teams, including the Cowboys, Ravens and Jaguars. The Dolphins, Eagles and 49ers are now the only three undefeated teams left at 3-0. As for the four 0-3 teams, they are all playing in two of the matchups in Week 4, with half about to crack their goose eggs.
Of the six divisional games in Week 4 all of which are intriguing, the one can’t-miss game has to be the AFC East matchup between Miami at Buffalo.
There will be several replays of Buffalo offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey’s viral reaction to last year’s loss to the Dolphins, but these teams played three awesome games against each other last year. Those games, which included an AFC wild card matchup – were decided by a combined total of eight points.
Our Picks:
Bills vs Dolphins
Pick: Dolphins ML @13/10 – Dog Pick
Miami won the turnover battle in all three games last season, and Mike McDaniel’s offense is clicking at an extraordinary level. Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in yards per attempt (10.1), and Josh Allen has taken just two sacks the last two weeks. Which defense takes the other quarterback out of their comfort zone?
Bears vs Broncos
Pick: Over 46.5 @10/11
It’s a battle between two winless teams that were outscored 111-30 last week in college-style blowouts. That makes this one a true toss-up, and it will revert to quarterback play. Russell Wilson does not turn the ball over as much as Justin Fields in this game, and that’s the difference. The over (46.5) seems big until you realize how bad the defenses have been.
Browns vs Ravens
Pick: Ravens ML @21/20
We have picked the Browns incorrectly straight up each of the past three weeks, but we’ll just pin that on the inconsistency of Deshaun Watson. The Browns’ defense under Jim Schwartz, which ranks first in the league in total defense (163.7) and points per game (10.7), is legit. Lamar Jackson is 6-1 against the Browns as the starter, and he left with an ankle injury in the only loss.
Titans vs Bengals
Pick: Bengals -2.5 @10/11
Joe Burrow is 3-0 against the Titans, including postseason. Burrow averages 289 passing yards in those games, and despite the short week Cincinnati should be able to put together enough on the road against Tennessee, whose offense can’t be any worse than last week.
Saints vs Buccaneers
Pick: Saints ML @10/17
Monitor Derek Carr, who suffered a sprained AC joint against Green Bay in Week 3. This might turn into a battle between former Heisman Trophy winners Jameis Winston and Baker Mayfield. That screams defensive struggle, and the Saints are a touch better on that side of the ball not to mention at home. We’ll take New Orleans at home, with or without Carr.
Texans vs Steelers
Pick: Steelers -2.5 @10/11
C.J. Stroud, meet T.J. Watt. The Steelers’ linebacker leads the NFL with six sacks, and Pittsburgh has a chance to pick up a second straight road victory. The Texans are an improved team under DeMeco Ryans, and Stroud showed what he could do with solid pass protection – a total of 280 passing yards and two TDs with no sacks – in Week 3. The Steelers will turn up the pressure.
Chargers vs Raiders
Pick: Chargers ML @20/37
The Raiders are struggling to find offensive options outside of Davante Adams, who has 322 yards and three TDs. Jimmy Garoppolo continues to struggle with interceptions, too. That’s not the right recipe against a Chargers’ team that finally won a close game. Los Angeles’ three games have been decided by a total of nine points.
Cowboys vs Patriots
Pick: Over 43.5 @10/11
The Cowboys were brought back to Earth in a brutal loss at Arizona, and the Patriots picked up their first victory of the season. That was on the road. Prescott will be more comfortable at home, and the Patriots are averaging just 17.3 points per game. The Cowboys lead the NFL with a +6 turnover differential, and that always matters against Bill Belichick.
49ers vs Cardinals
Pick: 49ers -14.0 @10/11
That’s the largest line of the week, and it hasn’t moved. That’s faith in San Francisco, which along with Buffalo are the only teams that rank in the top five in scoring offense and scoring defense. The Cardinals are coming off an impressive upset against Dallas, but can Joshua Dobbs take the show on the road? Both of last year’s games were blowouts, but we think this one falls right on the line.
Jets vs Chiefs
Pick: Chiefs ML @4/17
We all know who the star of this game was supposed to be. Instead, the Taylor Swift-Travis Kelce fascination will continue, and the Chiefs will look to cover for a third straight week since the Week 1 loss to the Lions. Zach Wilson – who has a 52.4% completion percentage – might be running out of chances here. Patrick Mahomes does the rest. The Jets won’t generate enough offense to keep up.
The National Football League is a professional American football league that consists of 32 teams, divided equally between the American Football Conference and the National Football Conference.
Best NFL Picks and Tips
0 Comments