Golf John Deere Classic Betting Picks and Predictions


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PGA Tour

 

Date: Jul 6–9, 2023

The John Deere Classic is a professional golf tournament held at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. It is a par 71 golf course, approximately 7,289 yards long. The event has historically been known for low scores, but it has become slightly tougher in the last two years. The fairways are challenging to hit, and driving distance remains higher than the tour average.

The key stats to consider for this event are Strokes Gained: Approach and Strokes Gained: Putting. A significant percentage of approach shots come in under 150 yards. The low-scoring nature of the tournament makes putting more crucial than usual. Scoring well on the par 5s is essential, as they offer birdie opportunities with a birdie rate of 50% on one of them.

Unlike some other events, driving distance doesn’t provide a significant advantage at the John Deere Classic due to the long and penalizing rough. Accuracy off the tee and solid wedge play are more crucial.

Course history and current form are not strong indicators of success at this tournament. The event tends to be open, and players can perform well even without a strong recent track record. Let’s chuck that form book out the window.

 

Our Picks:

Emiliano Grillo To Win Outright @28/1

known for typically skipping the John Deere Classic to prepare for The Open in the UK, broke that trend last year. The Argentinian golfer made his debut at TPC Deere Run in the Quad Cities and performed admirably. Despite it being his first appearance, Grillo showcased his skills, finishing with an impressive score of -18. This secured him a T2 finish, just three strokes behind Poston’s winning score of -21.

 

Cameron Young E/W @18/1

Cameron Young, an American professional golfer, has achieved notable success in his career. He has earned top-three finishes in major championships on two occasions and has also been a runner-up in several PGA Tour events. Additionally, Young has claimed victory twice on the Korn Ferry Tour. His exceptional performance led to him being named the PGA Tour Rookie of the Year for the 2021-22 season.

 

Chris Kirk E/W @28/1

Kirk, an American professional golfer, competes on the PGA Tour. He has a successful track record, securing four tournament victories between 2011 and 2015. After a drought of nearly eight years, Kirk made an impressive comeback in 2023 by winning another tournament, ending his prolonged winless streak.

 

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