Sunday Football
TouchDown
Heading into week 3 with Five unbeaten teams are left in the AFC after two weeks, and we kind of expected the Chiefs, Bills, and Texans given preseason expectations.
The Steelers and Chargers? Who knew?
Both teams can win ugly, and that makes the Week 3 matchup at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh a must-watch game between unbeaten teams. Philadelphia also travels to New Orleans in a battle of 2-0 teams, and Baltimore faces Dallas in a game of contenders trying not to fall too far behind in the standings.
So lets see where we are after this week.
Sunday Picks:
Browns vs Giants
Browns ML @10/29
The Browns are home, where they are 6-1 ATS as a favorite since last season. Cleveland has not forced a turnover through two games, but it will get a few here with the pass rush on Daniel Jones. The Browns will lean on the ground game to put things away, too. New York is generating three sacks per game, and that could be a game-changer if they can get to Deshaun Watson. If not, then the Browns will cruise at home. New York is not a good road team, posting a 2-8 S/U record since last season.
Titans vs Packers
Packers ML @11/10
Jordan Love (knee) remains a question mark to return, which might allow Malik Willis to face his former team. The Packers will bank on the running game behind Josh Jacobs either way, and it’s on Tennessee not to turn the ball over. The Titans have a -4 turnover ratio, and Will Levis has been sacked seven times. The Packers will cash in on those turnovers, and they overcome a weird stat. Green is 0-3 S/U all-time at Tennessee.
Colts vs Bears
Colts ML @5/6
The Bears will have to protect Caleb Williams better. He has taken league-high nine sacks in two games, but they can keep it on the ground against a bad rushing defense that has allowed 237 yards per game through two weeks. The Colts have issues, too, but Anthony Richardson will make a few big plays at home to help Indianapolis avoid a 0-3 start. Williams makes it a coin flip with the possibility of late-game heroics, but we’ll take the home team.
Texans vs Vikings – Dog Pick
Vikings ML @23/20
The Vikings are a surprise 2-0 team, and Sam Darnold is delivering consistent production with better protection – and Justin Jefferson, of course. Jefferson has eight catches on 11 targets and averages 24 yards per catch. C.J. Stroud is 4-4 S/U in four career road starts. He will establish the connection with Stefon Diggs, who had 10 catches on 12 targets with two TDs. Diggs, however, averages 8.0 yards per catch. The Vikings steal another one here and begin to emerge as a real threat to win the NFC North.
Saints vs Eagles
Over 49.5 @10/11
The Eagles are coming off a short week, and they face the most surprising team of the bunch. Derek Carr leads the NFL with a 142.4 passer rating with new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and that comes at 11.4 yards per attempt. The Eagles have the look of a more balanced team with the addition of Saquon Barkley. That has taken pressure off Jalen Hurts. The Eagles were 4-4 S/U and 3-4-1 ATS as an away favorite last season.
Steelers vs Chargers – Game of the Week
Chargers ML @21/20
This is arguably the best matchup of the week, and two former Ohio State players hold the keys to the matchup. Can Chargers running back JK Dobbins get rolling against a Pittsburgh defense that allows 76.5 yards per game? Justin Fields can build off his past two turnover-free starts. Harbaugh and the Chargers take advantage of the opportunity and improve to 3-0.
Raiders vs Panthers
Raiders -5.0 @10/11
The Raiders pulled off an impressive upset at Baltimore in Week 2, and they did that despite 27 rushing yards. Look for Las Vegas to emphasize that running game early against the Panthers, who have allowed 199.5 rushing yards per game the past two weeks. Yeah, the spread is high and Andy Dalton is an experienced starter, but the Panthers are 1-8-1 ATS as a road underdog since the start of the last season. When will they show some fight? Gardner Minshew throws two TDs, and the Raiders get a two-TD cover.
Seahawks vs Dolphins
Over 41.5 @10/11
The Dolphins are starting Skylar Thompson in place of Tua Tagovailoa, who suffered another concussion in the Week 3 loss to Buffalo. Thompson can operate the Dolphins’ offense, and Seattle struggled to run the football last week without Kenneth Walker III. Geno Smith has a 73.9-percent completion percentage through two weeks, which ranks fourth in the league. The Dolphins have to disrupt that to have a chance on the road. The Dolphins are 2-9 S/U as an away underdog under Mike McDaniel, but they are 5-6 ATS in that situation. Thompson will keep it close so we feel safer on the over.
Rams vs 49ers
49ers ML @2/7
The Rams have been devastated by injuries to Puka Nakua and Cooper Kupp in the first two weeks, which makes the lift that much more difficult for Matthew Staford without a strong running game. The 49ers are coming off a tough road loss, too, but this is a division rival. Look for more from Brock Purdy, who had 319 passing yards in the loss last week. The 49ers have won four of the past five meetings in San Francisco, but only one was by more than seven points. Los Angeles puts up a fight in their home opener.
Falcons vs Chiefs
Chiefs ML @5/9
The Chiefs take their show on the road to Atlanta, where the Falcons will look to score a Sunday Night Football upset on a short week. What do the Chiefs do at running game without Isiah Pacheco, who suffered a broken fibula in Week 2 against Cincinnati? That puts more pressure on Patrick Mahomes, but that is nothing he isn’t used to. Mahomes is great indoors, too. In 10 career starts in domes, he is 10-0 with 23 TDs, two interceptions, and a 105.4 passer rating.
The National Football League is a professional American football league that consists of 32 teams, divided equally between the American Football Conference and the National Football Conference.
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