UFC Fight Night
MMA Predictions
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that will take place on November 18, 2023, at the UFC Apex facility in Enterprise, Nevada, part of the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area, United States.
Main Card:
Brendan Allen vs. Paul Craig 185 lbs
Jake Matthews vs. Michael Morales 170 lbs
Jordan Leavitt vs. Chase Hooper 155 lbs
Payton Talbott vs. Nick Aguirre 135 lbs
Amanda Ribas vs. Luana Pinheiro 115 lbs
Uros Medic vs. Myktybek Orolba i170 lbs
Prelims:
Nikolas Motta vs. Trey Ogden 155 lbs
Lucie Pudilová vs. Ailin Perez 135 lbs
Mick Parkin vs. Caio Machado 265 lbs
Jonathan Pearce vs. Joanderson Brito 145 lbs
Chad Anheliger vs. Jose Johnson 135 lbs
Charles Johnson vs. Rafael Estevam 125 lbs
Lucas Alexander vs. Jeka Saragih 145 lbs
C. Duncan vs. Denis Tiuliulin 185 lbs
Our Picks:
Main Event-
Paul Craig via Submission @13/2
So although Allen is a different beast compared to Craig’s last opponent this is how we see this going, Craig grip in one of his signature subs. Allen managed to survive on the mat with Muniz because he broke him mentally, He can’t do that to Craig. The Scot pulls off another improbable upset.
Other Picks-
Ailin Perez to win via KO/TKO @13/2
This is our pick of the undercard and its a big one, we follow Perez’s career very closely and think she’s a big player for the future. If Perez is not a champion within the next 2 years we will be shocked, she enters this match with a black eye and has vowed to let her fans know how it happened after she wins.
Michael Morales to win @1/3
It’s clear the UFC views Matthews as nothing more than a stepping stone. Why else would they pair him against one of their brightest welterweight prospects? Morales is exceptionally long with a tremendously natural feel for striking. There’s a possibility Matthews is the superior grappler, but his wrestling has been hit and miss. More importantly, Matthews’ fight IQ has been a major question mark.
Chase Hooper to win @2/5
To their credit, both Leavitt and Hooper have improved their technique since they first entered the UFC, but it’s not saying too much. Regardless, Hooper looks more natural on the feet and appears to be making greater strides. It’s hard to be confident, but we’ll side with youth on this one.
Payton Talbott via KO/TKO @4/6
Talbott has the look of a future star. It’s still too early to say future champion, but he has an “it” factor that can’t be taught, not to mention a natural feel for fighting. Throw in that he’s absolutely massive for 135 and it’s hard to see Aguirre upsetting the apple cart. Aguirre isn’t without talent, or toughness, but his only wins have come against cans. Talbott may have less fights, but he’s got more quality wins. Talbott is one of the more confident picks of the night.
Amanda Ribas to win @4/9
Were leaning Ribas as she has the greater ability to control where the fight goes. She got some excellent throws and has been exceptionally tough to take down, even when she was fighting at 125. Ribas isn’t easy to outwork either and were not sure Pinheiro would be able to do that. Thus, we feel as though we’d be relying on the KO, which might be a possibility, but taking the ML seems the safest option.
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