Sunday Football
TouchDown
Week 6 was another strong week of picks and predictions against the spread to follow up a stellar performance with the games in Week 5. With a lot of data points available and a good body of work now to figure out the identities of several teams this season, the results have made more sense in the middle of 2023.
Week 7:
Lets see the Super Bowl contenders can take the show on the road.
That is the challenge for the Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins in Week 7. We are not surprised by the first-half season success by these teams considering the preseason hype. Now, can they do it against other contenders on the road? Detroit and Miami are 2.5-point underdogs in road tests at Baltimore and Philadelphia, respectively.
Would a Dolphins-Lions Super Bowl be possible this season? These are the types of games that breed those contenders.
Our Picks:
Bears vs Raiders
Pick: Raiders ML @5/7
This could be a battle of backup quarterbacks. Jimmy Garoppolo (back) and Justin Fields (hand) might both be out, which means this could be Brian Hoyer against rookie Tyson Bagent. That means a low-risk game, high-percentage game plan from both sides. Hoyer, who played for the Bears in Week 16, is the more experienced option, but this is a coin-flip game on the road. Maxx Crosby forces a late turnover, the Raiders win three in a row.
Colts vs Browns
Pick: Browns ML @4/7
How will the Browns handle success after knocking off the 49ers? Cleveland has the top defense in the NFL at 200.4 yards per game. It’s a simple formula against the Colts, who have eight turnovers in their three losses. This will be tough to generate a running game behind Gardner Minshew. Deshaun Watson (shoulder) could return in Week 7, and that will help the offense in a tight road test. The Browns are 1-1 S/U as a favorite this year.
Patriots vs Bills
Pick: Over 40.0 @10/11
The Patriots can’t score. They have just 20 points over the last three weeks, and Mac Jones’ time as the starting quarterback is running short. The Bills are 6-1 against New England since Tom Brady left, and the last five regular-season wins have been by double digits. Bill Belichick will do his best to slow down Buffalo, but look for a better offensive performance from Josh Allen.
Buccaneers vs Falcons
Pick: Bucs ML @5/7
This is a huge game for the NFC South and a chance for Atlanta quarterback Desmond Ridder. The Falcons have scored just 13 points in two road losses this season, and Baker Mayfield has managed to play efficiently despite a running game that ranks 29th at 78.8 yards per game. This will be tight, but the Buccaneers bounce back at home.
Ravens vs Lions
Pick: Over 43.0 @10/11
This is the best game on the day-time slate. The Lions are one of three teams with a top-10 offense and top-10 defense — San Francisco and Philadelphia are the others. Detroit is 3-0 S/U on the road and 5-1 ATS this season. Baltimore is close to being a top-10 on both sides, but they rank 11th in offense. Look for the Lions’ defensive line to frustrate Lamar Jackson, who are home after a three-game road stint that included a trip to London. Get this line with this value now.
Rams vs Steelers
Pick: Rams -3.0 @20/23
The Rams’ running game perked up around Kyren Williams in Week 6, and that should help offset a Pittsburgh pass rush led by T.J. Watt, who has eight sacks. The Steelers have to account for Aaron Donald, who has eight tackles for loss. Pittsburgh’s offense is under a perpetual state of criticism, particularly offensive coordinator Matt Canada, but the connection between Kenny Pickett and George Pickens grows here. Will they get enough out of Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren to close out the upset? we don’t see it.
Seahawks vs Cardinals
Pick: Seahawks ML @5/19
The Cardinals have lost their last three games by an average of 16.7 points per game, and they committed five turnovers the last two weeks. Joshua Dobbs will be pressed to make plays against a Seattle defense that ranks in the top five in rushing defense. The Seahawks won both meetings by 10 points last season.
Chiefs vs Chargers
Pick: Chiefs ML @20/49
The Chiefs are winning with a little bit of a different formula. The defense has allowed just 13.4 points per game since the Week 1 loss to the Lions, and Patrick Mahomes is making it work with a methodical attack around Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice. Can the Chargers disrupt that on the road coming off a short week? That will be on Justin Herbert to have success against that improved defense. Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog under Brandon Staley. The Chiefs have won the last three meetings by six points or less.
Eagles vs Dolphins
Pick: Over 51.0 @10/11
Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts meet in an anticipated matchup between former Alabama quarterbacks. Tagovailoa took four sacks in Miami’s only loss this season, and the Eagles are sure to dial up the pressure as a result. Hurts, who has struggled with interceptions could have a bounce-back game, and the defense may break a three-game turnover drought. Miami will be a popular upset pick here, but we’ll stick with the over as this could go either way.
The National Football League is a professional American football league that consists of 32 teams, divided equally between the American Football Conference and the National Football Conference.
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