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Week 5 Football,
Week 4 in the NFL was rough. Some real hot teams cooled off. Some poor teams came up with crazy rallies. Some potentially dominant teams flexed in tough spots.
That led to some hard-to-fathom results with the picks and predictions agains the spread. The only thing to do after surviving through some setbacks is to get back in the saddle for Week 5, where the Cowboys ride into “a game of the season” candidate at the 49ers.
Our Picks:
Jaguars vs Bills – Dog Pick
Pick: Jaguars ML @2/1
Josh Allen is red-hot defensively for the Jaguars coming off a three-sack game against the Falcons. Josh Allen is red-hot offensively for the Bills, coming off a perfect passer rating with five total scores against the Dolphins. The Jaguars’ Josh owned the Bills’ Josh in a shocking upset two seasons ago. Jacksonville game in this rematch, too, after winning in London last week and staying there. Trevor Lawrence will grind through vs. the Bills’ defense to make big plays and get his team in position to win late.
49ers vs Cowboys – Pick of the Day
Pick: Over 44.5 Points @10/11
The Cowboys’ defense is trying to keep from wilting too much against the run and has held up Ok on the back end without Trevon Diggs. But facing Christian McCaffrey and the 49ers’ elite rushing attack is a bad draw for them again. The 49ers’ defense can also take advantage of swarming a compressed offense around Dak Prescott. The Cowboys’ offensive line injuries don’t do them any favors, either. That said both teams can score here hence the over pick.
Giants vs Dolphins
Pick: -12.5 @10/11
The Giants are coming off a short week and falling to 1-3. The Dolphins are recovering from losing for the first time this season. Miami was overwhelmed at Buffalo but comes back home to face a blitzing defense, which plays right into the quick-passing hands of Tua Tagovailoa and his weapons. Daniel Jones will have his moments against Vic Fangio’s reeling defense, but he doesn’t have the same speed, quickness and explosiveness with his weapons.
Lions vs Panthers
Pick: Lions ML @1/5
The Lions are by far the feistier felines in this matchup with their defense playing well and the running game dominating with David Montgomery. Jared Goff is also on point and faces a banged-up secondary. This is a another rough spot for rookie Bryce Young on the road vs. Aidan Hutchinson and Charles Harris rushing him.
Colts vs Titans
Pick: Colts ML @11/10
The Colts have the much better mobile QB now with Anthony Richardson vs. fading Ryan Tannehill. They also tend to contain the run better than the pass, very similar to the Titans’ defense. The Colts have the more dangerous passing game weapons, surprisingly, and could also be inspired by the return of Jonathan Taylor, who will be motivated to outrush Derrick Henry.
Patriots vs Saints
Pick: Saints ML @10/11
The Saints were dealt a bad hand with Derek Carr decided to play with a shoulder injury that severely limited his passing against the Buccaneers in Week 4. It’s hard to think Carr will sit here. This is a tough draw for New England as it needs to account for Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas and Chris Olave all over the field, and also need to be war y about the deep threat of Rashid Shaheed. The Patriots are crumbling through ground and air around Mac Jones and the Saints’ defense will respond well on the road.
Rams vs Eagles
Pick: Over 50.5 Points @10/11
The Rams just had a lot of trouble with Shane Steichen’s current offense while facing strong mobile rookie QB Anthony Richardson. Now they draw the post-Steichen Jalen Hurts, who has revved up again of late. Both teams will see the run contained, but Hurts has the deeper reliable passing weaponry to give him the edge in a duel with Matthew Stafford.
Broncos vs Jets
Pick: Jets ML @11/10
It’s Zach Wilson vs. Russell Wilson. It’s Nathaniel Hackett vs. Sean Payton. It’s still a tough defense vs. now an atrocious defense. Zach will need to force less to win here because of having the speed of Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall on his side. Russ won’t like the matchups for his wideouts with Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed in coverage. The Jets can be a much better team than 1-3 if they can manage just a little more offense.
Vikings vs Chiefs
Pick: Chiefs ML @1/2
Patrick Mahomes and Kirk Cousins were the stars (along with Marcus Mariota) featured on “Quarterback”. They now meet on the field in a national game for the ideal promotion for Netflix. Mahomes is grinding through well by finding whoever in the passing game beyond Travis Kelce and also trusting the running game and defense much more. Cousins can make it interesting late at home to build on his league-leading 11 TD passes but there’s not quite enough. The Chiefs have proved to be great closers, too, whole the Vikings have lost some mojo.
The National Football League is a professional American football league that consists of 32 teams, divided equally between the American Football Conference and the National Football Conference.
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