UFC Paris
MMA Predictions
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac (also known as UFC Fight Night 226 and UFC on ESPN+ 84) is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that will take place on September 2, 2023, at the Accor Arena in Paris, France.
Start Time: 5.30pm GMT
Main Card:
Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac 265 lbs
Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas 125 lbs
B. Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moisés 155 lbs
Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov 205 lbs
William Gomis vs. Lucas Almeida 145 lbs
Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini 145 lbs
Prelims:
Yanis Ghemmouri vs. Caolan Loughran 135 lbs
Zarah Fairn vs. J. Cavalcanti 135 lbs
Nora Cornolle vs. Joselyne Edwards 135 lbs
Ange Loosa vs. Rhys McKee 170 lbs
Farid Basharat vs. K. Rodrigues 135 lbs
Our Picks:
Rose ML at + 190. Tons of uncertainty here. Her performance against Esparza was mystifying and she’s moving up to fight an absolute physical specimen on her home turf, but +190 was tough to pass up. Line movement has chewed up some of the value. Think this one goes the distance.
Ghemmouri ML at +250. Two pretty decent prospects, one intriguingly wide line, especially considering we have dual UFC debutants and the dog fighting at home.
Moises ML at +130. Benoit Saint Denis is highly hittable and Thiago’s strength of schedule blows his away, with fights against Dariush, Ismagulov, Emmers, Bobby Green, Alex Hernandez, Makhachev, and Joel Alvarez. Nice list for a guy who just turned 28. He won a few of those fights too. I lean BSD in this one. BSD’s size and strength advantage will give him an edge (and may be the deciding factor, I think, as Moises has struggled with bigger opponents) but Moises remains very live here.
Spivac ML +130. Cyril looks like a deer in headlights when forced to grapple. If he defends Spivac’s takedowns, he cruises. If not, he’s got massive problems. Spivac is vulnerable to aggressive strikers (Walt Harris blitzed him and finished him with ease within about 45 seconds) but Gane is Mr. Patience. Just a rough stylistic matchup for Gane and a very weird choice for a bounce back fight.
Guskov ML +150. This is a regional can crusher with a Greek god build fighting a once-excellent veteran who looks very chinny these days. Probably doesn’t go the distance. Guskov’s cardio is untested and Volkan’s punch resistance looks pretty leaky.
Morgan Charriere ML -180. We simple see this as one sided, Charriere is way to good and will most likely end this early.
Prelim Picks:
Farid Basharat ML @1/4
J. Cavalcanti ML @1/4
Ange Loosa ML @10/17
Best MMA Betting Tips, Image Credit: insidesport
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