PGA Tour
World Golf Tips
Date: Jun 8–11, 2023
Next up is the RBC Canadian Open, which will be hosted at a new venue, Oakdale Golf and Country Club. This par 72 course spans a modest 7,264 yards. Since it’s the first time the tournament is held at this location, we have limited information to rely on. We have gathered insights from experts, examined the scorecard, and analyzed the course layout. According to the head pro, Alex Arychuk, the rough is expected to be thick and penalizing, while the greens are characterized by undulations.
Historically, the Canadian Open has witnessed relatively low winning scores. Considering the shorter length of this course, it’s reasonable to anticipate a winning score exceeding 20 under par. Based on our understanding, we foresee two primary strategies golfers may employ to tackle this course. The first approach is the “bomb and gouge” strategy, capitalizing on the course’s shorter nature. However, the success of this strategy will largely depend on the severity of the rough. The second approach involves utilizing woods and irons off the tee to ensure accurate positioning and favorable angles into the greens. Even with a more conservative tee shot, players would likely face short iron approaches to most greens. Naturally, the best drivers of the golf ball may not need to hold back and can still employ the driver effectively, similar to Keith Mitchell’s style. Thus, we will evenly consider players based on these two expected methods of attack.
For our initial model, the key statistics we will focus on are Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, Driving Distance, Strokes Gained: Approach (particularly within the 75-125-yard range), Opportunities Gained, and Birdies Gained.
When a PGA Tour event features seven par 4s ranging from 350 to 430 yards, along with a 490-yard par 5, it’s reasonable to expect the players to post low scores. Especially when there appear to be limited hazards compelling layups to longer second shots.
Our Picks:
- Burns (each way) at 16/1
- Svensson (each way) at 66/1
- Cole (each way) at 80/1
- Aberg (each way) at 150/1
We are focusing on players who can excel with their putters and demonstrate above-average performance from 100-125 yards.
While there is limited statistical data available for Aberg, and he is unlikely to replicate Rose Zhang’s feat of winning in his first start out of college, we couldn’t resist the odds of 150/1. Aberg’s T24 finish at Bay Hill against a competitive field showcases his existing ability. With an average clubhead speed of 120 mph and gaining 0.5 strokes per round on approach (in only 8 measured rounds on the PGA Tour), he has already demonstrated potential. Additionally, his performance at Bay Hill, where he gained 4+ strokes with his putter on PGA Tour greens against professional players, suggests he possesses a well-rounded game.
We are also considering top 20 finishes for Hatton, Rose, and Sahith, as well as top 40 finishes for Meronk, Nick Taylor, Aberg, Stevens, and Carson Young.
The Canadian Open is a prestigious golf tournament held in Canada, co-organized by Golf Canada and the PGA Tour. Its inaugural edition took place 119 years ago in 1904, and it has been an annual event since then, with exceptions during World War I, World War II, and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Best Golf Betting Tips, Image Credit: tsn.com
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