Ultimate Frisbee Tips
Got To Catch Them All
Week 1 Picks:
Welcome back to frisbee betting everyone! The AUDL begins tonight and were very excited for what should be another competitive and compelling season.
2021 Picks Record: 41-23-1
2022 Picks Record: 133-82-2
As this is the first week, We suggest reducing bet size on most plays until things get into more of a rhythm.
Seattle at Oakland – Saturday at 2 PM PDT
Seattle played yesterday in Utah and it wasn’t pretty. Salt Lake City won 28-20 in a game that wasn’t ever close. Unfortunately Seattle just isn’t a great road team. If Linebet is paying attention they will move this line, but if not, Oakland at -2.5 is good value. I won’t say it’s a lock, as Oakland will be missing several of their veteran leaders, and will be playing with a young crew. I imagine Seattle will give it their all hoping to come away with something on their road trip instead of nothing. But this is just a tough draw for the Cascades, who will be traveling Saturday morning and have to gear up to play just 16 hours after their last game ended.
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Pick: Oakland -2.5 -118
DC at Carolina – Saturday at 6 PM EDT
DC-Carolina is this week’s “AUDL Game of the Week” and deservedly so. Two title contenders square off in a series that has always been close. Of five meetings between the two, three have been decided by only one goal, and the other two were decided by three or fewer goals. I suspected Carolina might receive an edge in the betting line given Carolina won their division last season while DC finished second and missed out on the final four, but DC really ought to be favored here. DC has the series lead 3-2, and had an outstanding offseason, pulling in talent from all over the country. Carolina is a deep team and will make DC work for it, but there is considerable value on DC here who should be -1.5 or -2.5 themselves.
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Picks: DC +1.5 -133, Carolina TT u21.5 +102
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Leans: DC ML +100, Under 42.5 -118
Madison at Pittsburgh – Saturday at 6 PM EDT
The lone Central division match on the slate, Madison at Pittsburgh will be played in Pittsburgh’s new stadium right on the river (where the soccer team plays). Both teams regressed in the offseason, losing key pieces, and will likely not be major factors in the playoff race. There’s also not a lot of youth on these teams, at least for this weekend, given each area’s college teams are participating in college postseason events. All that said, it should still be a fun game. Pittsburgh has only defeated Madison once in the last three seasons (four meetings total), but their two losses last season were razor close games. I think there’s a real chance Pittsburgh outright wins here, or at least keeps it close.
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Picks: Pittsburgh +2.5 -118, Pittsburgh TT o17.5 -118
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Lean: Over 36.5 -125
Philadelphia at New York – Saturday at 7 PM EDT
This lowkey might be one of the most interesting matchups on the slate. New York basically brought back everyone from their history-defining championship run and are the deserved favorites, but Philadelphia has improved year after year and brought on more talent in the offseason. There seemed to be a few games last season where Philadelphia wasn’t at full strength, but that’s not the case this weekend as they have most if not all of their top players.
This game is also very interesting as it looks to be harshly affected by weather, with forecasts projecting rain and up to 15 mph wind. Ultimate is a sport considerably affected by weather, as rain and wind can cause discs to be difficult to catch as well as throws behave differently. It can also be a great equalizer if the wind is forcing one direction on the field and offenses take turns scoring easily, keeping the score close throughout. One of the two meetings between these two teams last season had miserable conditions and ended 17-15 in New York’s favor. I think the spread here is way too wide; it’s one of my favorite picks of the slate. The under also has good value with the conditions.
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Picks: Philadelphia +7.5 -118, Under 39.5 -118
Indianapolis at Atlanta – Saturday at 7 PM EDT
Another interdivisional game as the Central’s Indianapolis travels down to the South’s Atlanta. Both teams should be in the playoff mix but not necessarily playoff division favorites, so this should be a good test for each team. I think both teams are honestly underrated this season, Indy has got some love but Atlanta has barely got any love. Atlanta quietly had a great offseason, pulling in talent from the Florida area whose team folded in the offseason. Meanwhile Indy lost basically nobody and the division leaders are much weaker, so they likely smell blood in the water. The line is pretty good here, it’s only a lean but I think Indy could keep it close.
As for the total I think both offenses should be solid, weather is a bit of a concern with rain starting in the evening but wind thankfully seems to be low. I’ll make it an official pick but might be worth reducing unit size or keeping an eye on the forecast.
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Pick: Over 37.5 -118
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Lean: Indianapolis +3.5 -118
Austin at Houston – Saturday at 7 PM CDT
This line makes little sense. Austin is one of the best teams in the league, Houston is one of the worst. Granted, Houston is a brand new team so there could be some mystery potential, but none (or very few) of their starters played serious roles on Austin, either. A good comparison for Houston will likely be Dallas, and Austin swept Dallas in five meetings last year by totals of 3, 7, 6, 10, and 4. I think Houston could put up a fight early, but there’s just way too much of an experience edge here with Austin, and Austin is bringing pretty much their full team to Houston. This is my favorite pick on the slate.
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Picks: Austin -3.5 -125, Houston TT u19.5 -118, Austin TT o22.5 -111
All Matches are U.S Based, Enjoy
Image Credit: usaultimate.org
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