NBA Season 2022/23
Slam Dunk
The NBA Games will come thick and fast so check back daily for our predictions.
Our Picks:
Bucks -9.5 @10/11 vs Heat
The Bucks are coming against the heat as big point favorites. The Bucks are a top 10 team in both offensive/defensive efficiency, while the Heat are only top 10 in defense. Like the Hawks, the Heat are a bad 3 point shooting team, ranking 27th in the league. On top of that they suck at fg% in general ranking 26th. Like the Hawks, it’s unlikely for this Heat team to come out and catch the Bucks by surprise. The Heat also play the 2nd slowest pace in the league, making it very tough for them to make a come back if down by a lot. The only thing were worried about is the Bucks poor FT%, but we don’t think that should be a factor at home.
Lakers vs Grizzlies -3.5 @10/11
Both teams have been rough against the spread in their last 5 games going 1-4, however, Memphis is 14-1 SU in their last 15 games at home, and should be able to take away a win early in this series.
Both of these teams are offensive powerhouses with strong pieces on both the offensive and defensive floor. Where the edge exists is on defense, where the Grizzles are top 10. Analytically, Memphis has many strong defenders, with Jaren Jackson Jr. who is currently having a DPOY calibre season , Brooks, who although love/hate him, has been solid defensively, and both Konchar and Tillman off the bench who are both top 50 defenders this year.
The grizzles rank #1 in FG% defense, which the Lakers rely on as their 3 point shooting is not the strongest. We expect them to struggle and rely on the youngsters in Shroder/Reaves and Russell, who’ve been inconsistent from beyond the arc at best. Expect this to be a very grindy game where Memphis has a slight edge offensively, and matchup wise defensively.
The Lakers starting lineup is a bit older than the Memphis starting 5, and expect them to take a bit longer to get heated up. We still think the Lakers take this series in 6 or 7, but think Memphis comes out hot enough at home to take this first game by a decent margin.
Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5 @10/11 vs Nuggets
Nuggets have been off for week and that sometimes can make guys sluggish. T-Wolves have been played 2 competitive games and have some rhythm going. KAT looks rejuvenated and Gobert played with some heart last game. Ant looks primed to step up after a much better game against the Thunder than his low production against the Lakers and if he can do his part and drop 20 to 25 the game should be close. The teams match up well and split the 4 game reg season series with each team defending home court and 3 of the 4 games being blowouts over 10 points (one was 4 point game).
Other Pick:
Suns vs Clippers – Over 225.5 @10/11
The National Basketball Association is a professional basketball league in North America. The league is composed of 30 teams and is one of the four major professional sports leagues in the United States and Canada. It is the premier men’s professional basketball league in the world.
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