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Philadelphia, Buffalo and Kansas City are considered the Super Bowl favorites as the NFL season hits the midpoint. All three teams are double-digit favorites heading into Week 9.
Philadelphia opened the action on Thursday night against the Texans. Philadelphia won 29-17. It was not a glamorous game by any means, but it was a chance to watch Jalen Hurts continue his MVP-caliber season for the undefeated Eagles. Hurts, a Houston native, should be in top form against the Texans with favorite target A.J. Brown.
Buffalo also is a heavy road favorite against the Jets. Josh Allen also is in the MVP mix, and favorite target Stefon Diggs is tied for the NFL lead with seven TD receptions. The matchup against rookie cornerback Sauce Gardner should be fun, too.
Kansas City are also is in the mix, and is a double-digit favorite against the Titans. Patrick Mahomes II had a bye week to prepare, and the Titans are heating up with Derrick Henry, who is coming off a 219-yard effort in Week 8.
Sundays Best Picks:
Falcons vs Chargers – Chargers ML @8/13
The Chargers are a road favorite despite the cross-country flight, and they better be careful against the Falcons. Atlanta is 3-1 S/U at home, and this team is 3-3 in one-score games. That said, Justin Herbert has a 102.7 QB rating with six TDs and one interception on the road, and the Chargers had a bye week. This will be one of the more entertaining games in the early window. Atlanta starts to believe it’s a playoff team here.
Bears vs Dolphins – Dolphins -4.5 @1/1
Justin Fields has shown improvement within Chicago’s offense the last two weeks, but he’s taking too many sacks. Chicago’s defense was ripped on the ground last week against Dallas, and that means Raheem Mostert could have a huge game here. That will open up the vertical shots from Tua Tagovailoa to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Miami also is 4-1 at Chicago all time. Forget about those weather narratives.
Bengals vs Panthers – Over 42.5 Points @5/6
Here is another line that has moved up. Cincinnati has a short week, but Joe Burrow averages 384 passing yards with five TDs and no interceptions in his last two home starts. Carolina can slow the game down in the first half with D’Onta Foreman, but Cincinnati will pull away in the second half. We see both teams scoring 20+ to make this line hit.
Lions vs Packers – Packers -3.5 @10/11
Perhaps no two teams are more desperate for a win this season. These are bad run defenses. Detroit (154.9) ranks 30th; one spot behind the Packers (141.3). The Lions have an offense that could push Green Bay to a fifth straight loss, but the Packers showed some signs of life on that side in the second-half of the Week 8 loss to the Bills. This is a close one, but the Packers pull out the victory.
Patriots vs Colts – Patriots -5.5 @10/11
The Colts are one of this year’s surprising disasters, and they have averaged 10.5 points per game on the road this season. That won’t cut it against New England, who has re-settled at quarterback with Mac Jones. Sam Ehlinger will show signs of progress, but it won’t be enough to win in Foxborough.
NY Jets vs Bills – Bills -11.0 @10/11
The Bills are heavy road favorites against the Jets, who have double-digit losses at home to AFC playoff contenders Baltimore and Cincinnati. The bad news? Buffalo is 2-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season, and Allen has won his last four starts against New York. The Bills continue their impressive season.
Cardinals vs Seahawks – Seahawks ML @21/20 – Dog of The Day
The Seahawks beat the Cardinals 19-9 in Week 6, and Arizona is in desperation mode at 3-5. Seattle is 2-2 on the road, but the emergence of Kenneth Walker III, who has scored TDs in four straight games, continues to be a difference maker. Seattle is a low-risk underdog as a result.
Rams vs Buccaneers – Buccaneers ML @8/13
This is the most-difficult game to pick this week. Both teams have lost three of their last four games, and the loser will fall even further down the NFC playoff standings. Cooper Kupp is dealing with an ankle injury, and that won’t help Matthew Stafford. Does Tom Brady finally break the Bucs out of their slump?
Chiefs vs Titans – Over 45.5 Points @10/11
Ryan Tannehill should have time to return for this game, and the Titans are going to have to be more than Derrick Henry in this matchup. Kansas City is tough at home, but three games at Arrowhead Stadium have been decided by a combined total of eight points this season. Patrick Mahomes II is 1-2 against the Titans, and that includes the AFC championship victory in 2020. This game will feel like that in the second half. The line is still too high.
*We was asked why we don’t cover all games, and the simple reason is if were not confident we wont pick it. Obviously gambling is not a guaranteed way of making money so we try and pick games we do think are going to win, Good Look All!
The National Football League is a professional American football league that consists of 32 teams, divided equally between the American Football Conference and the National Football Conference.
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