Major League Baseball Tips
Home Run
Today’s Top Picks:
Rays vs Orioles
Pick: No Run First Inning @1/1 (1st Inning Under 0.5 runs)
Kluber 7-2 NRFI record on the road (14-4 overall) Voth 3-0 NRFI record at home (5-0 overall) Orioles not great at first inning runs and Rays struggle more on the road scoring runs in the first inning than at home. Basic write up but we feel its all we need.
Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds ML @8/11
These two teams could not be moving farther in the opposite direction. Other than losing both games to the Cardinals before the All-Star break, the Reds have won 3 straight series, sweeping the Rays, beating the Yankees and then the Cardinals just now. The Marlins managed to hold on and beat the Pirates, but an 8-0 loss at home to the Rangers after being swept by the Phillies is no good run of form. Their offense has been putrid at best, landing in the bottom 3 of every offensive category in July and to make matters worse they’re facing a lefty today. Over the course of the season Miami is the worst team in the league against lefties, striking out at a 27.2% rate and hitting only .214 for average. The Reds aren’t great against lefties but sit 20th with an OPS about 100 points higher than the Marlins. Given how their offense has been lately against top tier pitching staffs we’d expect them to nab a handful against the ever-struggling Trevor Rogers. Nick Lodolo hasn’t been good, I’m not going to vouch for him. The rookie has the proverbial ‘stuff’ but looks shaky so far with location and his changeup is getting melted to the tune of a .421 BA. What he does have is a phenomenal strikeout rate (29%), and given the Marlins strikeout more than anyone in the league verse lefties he could have a decent outing. The Reds have won 6 of their last 7 at home and I’ll trust their bats to bring them through again today.
Guardians vs Red Sox – Over 8.5 Runs @8/11
Starting for the Sox today is Nick Pivetta who has gotten roughed up in a BIG way lately. In his last 3 starts (TB and NYY x2) he has allowed 7, 6, and 7 runs for an impressive 13.50 ERA. On the contrary, he faced these Guardians one months ago (June 24th) and went 7 innings, allowing 2 runs. Even then, that game ended with 9 runs and I’m not expecting a repeat performance. Especially given that Cleveland’s bats have started to come back after the All-Star Break; they’ve averaged 5.5 runs per game since the Break.
Other Picks:
Chicago Cubs ML @4/6
Astros ML @4/9
Mariners ML @8/13
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Major League Baseball is a professional baseball organization and the oldest major professional sports league in the world. As of 2022, a total of 30 teams play in Major League Baseball—15 teams in the National League and 15 in the American League —with 29 in the United States and 1 in Canada.
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