Scottish Open Golf Outright Picks
Who Wins
From 6-10 July 2022, The Renaissance Club in North Berwick will host the prestigious 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. This highly anticipated event will feature a stellar lineup of top-tier golfers, such as Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, Robert MacIntyre, Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, and Min Woo Lee. Spectators and participants alike can expect a world-class competition at this renowned venue. For those traveling to The Renaissance Club, here are directions from five nearby cities.
Our Picks:
Xander Schauffele @18/1 – E/W
Jon Rahm @11/1 – E/W
Jordan Spieth @30/1 – E/W
*Most Firms Paying 8 Places*
The Genesis Scottish Open is a prestigious golf tournament co-sanctioned by the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, although the latter has recently banned LIV players from their events. This year will mark the fourth consecutive year that The Renaissance Club hosts the tournament. The Renaissance Club is a scenic par 71 course, spanning 7,293 yards. Interestingly, the past three editions of this event have all required playoffs to determine the winner. This trend makes it an opportune time to consider placing bets on the “to go to playoff” outcome. The beauty and appeal of The Renaissance Club are evident, explaining why the event continues to return year after year. It is generally a course where players can score well, provided the wind is not too challenging. While the current forecast suggests mild conditions, it’s crucial to monitor any potential changes, as the winning scores in previous years have varied significantly depending on the wind. When the wind was calm, the winning score reached around 20 under par, while it dropped to 11 under par when the wind picked up.
Since Fantasy National lacks statistical data for this specific event, I outsourced and utilized strokes gained data from last year to identify key performance indicators. Analyzing last year’s leaderboard, it appears that approach play and putting were crucial factors for success. Strokes gained off the tee did not show a clear correlation, and performance around the greens varied widely among players on the leaderboard. Consequently, it is challenging to establish a direct connection between success and performance around the green. When evaluating off the tee, I will likely focus on driving accuracy, considering that errant drives can lead to trouble on this course.
Taking a closer look at the scorecard, we can identify five par 4s falling within the 450-500 yard range, as well as three par 3s ranging from 200-225 yards. The course presents ample opportunities for players to encounter trouble and potentially record bogeys or double bogeys. Therefore, I will also consider the metric of birdies or better gained. It is crucial to identify players who can quickly recover from setbacks and capitalize on the scoring opportunities presented by the par 5s and shorter par 4s. If the weather conditions remain as predicted, we can expect another winning score of approximately 20-21 under par. Consequently, we should target players who can get hot and consistently produce birdies.
Key Statistics:
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Par 4 Scoring (450-500 yards)
- Par 3 Scoring (200-225 yards)
- Birdies or Better (BOB) Gained
- Fairways Gained
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Image Credit: sportsexclusive.co.uk
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