John Deere Classic Golf Betting Picks and Predictions PGA


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1 share, 69 points
PGA Tour Golf

 

Date: Jun 30–Jul 3, 2022

Our Predictions:

Webb Simpson @11/1

Jason Day @25/1

Sahith Theegala @20/1

Most Online Firms Paying 8 Places.

Golfers will travel to Silvis, Illinois, with the goal of securing one of the remaining three spots in The Open Championship at St Andrews. The John Deere Classic will once again take place at TPC Deere Run, which has been the host venue for the past two decades. It is expected that we will witness another highly competitive tournament at this location. TPC Deere Run is a par 71 course spanning 7,289 yards, but it will likely play shorter than its actual length. The majority of the course’s distance is concentrated in the par 5s and one of the par 3s.

In recent years, the winning score at this event has ranged from 18 under to an impressive 20 under on nine occasions. Admittedly, the field for this tournament may not be the strongest, but with a substantial purse of 7 million, players will be eager to secure one of the coveted spots in The Open Championship. Such events often provide opportunities for underdogs to shine, and this tournament is no exception, where players with odds of 100-1 or higher have a legitimate chance of performing well.

Examining the previous winners at TPC Deere Run, we can observe that golfers with various skill sets have succeeded here, ranging from long hitters to accurate ball-strikers. When considering the statistics, it becomes evident that, as is often the case in high-scoring tournaments, the most crucial factors are approach play and putting. Players tend to hit fairways and greens at a higher rate than the tour average, and a significant number of approach shots will likely be taken from distances of 100-125 and 125-150 yards. Since putting will play a crucial role, it is advisable to focus on golfers who excel on bentgrass greens.

Given that the winning score is expected to be around 21 under, a strong performance on putts from 10-15 feet will be essential for contenders. It is preferable to target golfers who are adept at attacking pins and can generate numerous birdie opportunities, even if it means occasionally making a few bogeys. Golfers in the style of Sam Burns, who can recover from a rocky start and string together multiple birdies, are particularly desirable. Three of the par 4s on the course measure between 350-400 yards and offer birdie rates exceeding 20%, making them crucial scoring opportunities. The remaining scoring opportunities will arise from the par 5s.

Key Stats

SG: Approach

Approach proximity of 100-150 yards

Par 4 scoring 350-400 yards

Par 5 scoring 550-600 yards

SG: Putting

Birdies or Better Gained

 

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