ATP World Tour
Men’s Tennis
Andrey Rublev vs Alexander Zverev – 7.30pm GMT
Picks:
3 Total Sets @11/10
Zverev 2-1 @13/5
Andrey Rublev has already been eliminated, but plenty of money and 200 points are still on offer for him. He caught a cold at the beginning of his week in Turin, which probably impacted his lackluster performances against both Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz.
Alexander Zverev will need to win this match and hope that Medvedev defeats Alcaraz earlier, so by the time he comes out onto the court it might be all said and done for him too. The German loves these Turin courts and has already won this event in 2021 (also in 2018 when it was held in London). His performances so far have been better than anything he had done in the last few weeks. Expect him to keep overperforming. We see 3 sets as the safer pick but 2-1 offers great value.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev – 1.30pm GMT
Pick:
Medvedev to win @13/10
Daniil Medvedev has already qualified for the semi finals, while Carlos Alcaraz needs a win or some help from Andrey Rublev later in the day. Dead rubbers can be tricky to focus for but as we saw in the case of Jannik Sinner, the players would never allow themselves to give up and they fight for every match regardless of the stakes.
There was a point in 2023 when this rivalry seemed heavily lopsided in Alcaraz’s favor, but Medvedev turned it around at the US Open. Some of the issues are still there with the Spaniard knowing how to abuse his opponent’s deep positioning, but it’s not going to be easy to utilize that on such a quick court. The serve edge for Medvedev will be more important as well.
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The 2023 ATP Finals is a men’s tennis tournament played on indoor hard courts at the Pala Alpitour in Turin, Italy, from 12 to 19 November 2023. It is the season-ending event for the highest-ranked singles players and doubles teams on the 2023 ATP Tour.
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